Investment thesis
    Servers & hardware · Cooling & thermal · Power generation

    Rare earths & magnets

    NdFeB magnets in hard drives, cooling fans, pumps and the turbines that power data centers.

    Permanent magnets are everywhere in physical AI infrastructure: hard drives, cooling fans and pumps, and the motors and generators of new power plants. China dominates rare-earth separation and magnet making and has put heavy rare earths under export control.

    This is now the most policy-driven bucket. The US government owns stakes in key names and has set a price floor, which lowers downside for some companies but makes returns depend on Washington as much as on markets.

    Context: MP Materials, Jul 2025 · Reuters, Jun 22 2026

    Bull case

    • A US government NdPr price floor and offtake support domestic producers' economics.
    • Heavy rare earths (dysprosium, terbium) are the tightest link and have very few ex-China sources.
    • Defense, EV and AI demand all pull on the same magnet supply.

    Bear case

    • Valuations have run ahead of production in several names; developers carry execution risk.
    • Chinese producers can flood the market and push prices below Western costs.
    • Policy support can change with administrations; China has blacklisted some US firms.
    The basket

    10 stocks and funds in this bucket

    Grouped from diversified majors to developers and funds. Market data as of October 6, 2026.

    600111.SSProducer

    China Northern Rare Earth

    HQ: China

    Chinese state-controlled giant and the world's largest light rare-earth producer, supplying salts, oxides, metals and magnet materials.

    Price
    ¥35.3
    Mkt cap
    $19B
    1 yr
    -26.9%
    YTD
    -23.5%
    LYC.AXUS: LYSDYProducer

    Lynas Rare Earths

    HQ: Australia

    The largest rare-earth producer outside China, mining in Western Australia and processing in Malaysia.

    Price
    A$12.89
    Mkt cap
    $9.1B
    1 yr
    -33.4%
    YTD
    +2.5%
    000831.SZProducer

    China Rare Earth Resources & Technology

    HQ: China

    China Minmetals' listed rare-earth arm, focused on the medium and heavy rare earths China tightly controls.

    Price
    ¥52.73
    Mkt cap
    $8.4B
    1 yr
    +1.9%
    YTD
    +13.5%
    UUUUProducer

    Energy Fuels

    HQ: United States

    Top US uranium producer whose White Mesa Mill in Utah also separates rare earths. In 2026 it reported pilot-scale terbium production from US monazite.

    Price
    $11.24
    Mkt cap
    $2.8B
    1 yr
    -31.8%
    YTD
    -23.1%
    ILU.AXUS: ILKAFProducer

    Iluka Resources

    HQ: Australia

    Australian mineral-sands producer of zircon and titanium feedstocks, building a government-funded rare-earth refinery.

    Price
    A$5.82
    Mkt cap
    $1.8B
    1 yr
    -21.7%
    YTD
    -0.2%
    NEO.TOUS: NOPMFRefiner / processor

    Neo Performance Materials

    HQ: Canada

    Rare-earth processor and maker of Magnequench magnet powders, with plants in Asia and Europe.

    Price
    C$30.33
    Mkt cap
    $896M
    1 yr
    +36.3%
    YTD
    +92.2%
    ARU.AXUS: ARAFFDeveloper

    Arafura Rare Earths

    HQ: Australia

    Developer of the Nolans neodymium-praseodymium project in Australia's Northern Territory. It is pre-production.

    Price
    A$0.165
    Mkt cap
    $700M
    1 yr
    -25.0%
    YTD
    -36.5%
    REMXETF

    VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF

    HQ: United States

    ETF holding rare-earth and strategic-metal miners across lithium, rare earths, uranium and other niche metals, with significant China exposure.

    Price
    $63.79
    Fund size
    $829M
    1 yr
    -13.0%
    YTD
    -16.9%
    Compare

    Side-by-side

    Company / fundMineralsTypeHQ12 mo
    600111.SS
    China Northern Rare Earth
    NdLaCeProducerCN$19B-26.9%-23.5%
    LYC.AX
    LYSDY
    Lynas Rare Earths
    NdPrDyTbProducerAU$9.1B-33.4%+2.5%
    MP
    MP Materials
    NdPrLaCe+1ProducerUS$8.6B-32.1%-9.1%
    000831.SZ
    China Rare Earth Resources & Technology
    DyTbLaCeProducerCN$8.4B+1.9%+13.5%
    UUUU
    Energy Fuels
    UVDyTbProducerUS$2.8B-31.8%-23.1%
    USAR
    USA Rare Earth
    NdDeveloperUS$1.8B-47.1%+1.7%
    ILU.AX
    ILKAF
    Iluka Resources
    ZrTiProducerAU$1.8B-21.7%-0.2%
    NEO.TO
    NOPMF
    Neo Performance Materials
    NdRefiner / processorCA$896M+36.3%+92.2%
    REMX
    VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF
    NdLiWETFUS$829M-13.0%-16.9%
    ARU.AX
    ARAFF
    Arafura Rare Earths
    NdPrDeveloperAU$700M-25.0%-36.5%
    10 of 10 shown. Size is market cap for companies and net assets for funds, in USD.

    Not investment advice. Critical-Minerals.si is an independent research site. Baskets and model allocations are illustrative frameworks for exploring exposure, not recommendations to buy or sell any security. Mining and commodity equities are volatile, and many names listed here are small, foreign-listed or pre-revenue. Do your own research and consider a licensed adviser. Market data as of the date shown; prices change constantly.